Opportunities of more constructive developments are detailed under the term "Hyperdemocracy", based on solidarity networks, participative democracy, "responsible companies", NGOs, micro-credits and collective intelligence. Technological improvements in weaponry would put Humanity at risk of destroying itself in this conflict. "Infranomads" are expected to revolt violently against their condition, stemming a resurgence of national entities and crystallising conflicts around traditional borders of ethnicities, religions, etc. 3.5 billion "infranomads" would subsist in misery. The "virtual nomads" would live a sedentary life, but work in networks for companies without a central location. The ruling class, called "hypernomads", would ground its power on a middle class of 4 billion "virtual nomads" comprising technicians, scientists, managers, engineers, etc. The citizens would see themselves as "global citizens" who want their work to serve a "higher purpose". The entire planet would work according to an ultra-liberal economy and a form of democracy with "revisited" standards. The "nomadisation" process would make nation-States irrelevant, transforming the world into a chaotic market called "hyperempire". Consecutive droughts would make water a rare resource, and greatly reduce biodiversity. This would cause further increases of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and accelerate global warming. Urbanisation would make forest disappear everywhere, except for Europe and Northern America where artificially maintained ones would subsist. Increase of world population would entail a doubling of global farming production. Japan, Indonesia, Korea, Australia, Canada and South Africa would also play important roles as major regional powers.Ī process of "nomadisation" would stem from technological factors, like the Internet from demographic factors, like aging of developed populations which would entail massive immigration from Southern countries to pay retirements and from development of megapoles. Some of them, notably China, India and Nigeria, as well as other countries artificially created after colonization, could undertake an explosion process similar to that of USSR in 1991, with as many as 100 new countries emerging. It would be followed by a polycentric world, with nine dominating nations on all continents: the United States, Brazil, Mexico, China, India, Russia, the European Union, Egypt and Nigeria. The speculation as to how the future will unfold begins one third into the book, which predicts the fall of the US Empire before the end of the ninth form of capitalism, estimated to take place around 2035. The close vicinity becomes the "environment", and the rest of the world becomes the "periphery". Los Angeles and the microchip (1980–present) Ī city would then become a "core" when it able to transform a service into an industrial product.
New York City with the electric engine (1929–1980).Boston and the piston engine (1890–1929).London and the steam engine (1788–1890).Bruges with the central rudder stock (1200–1350).The book hypothesizes that "merchant order" went through nine successive geographical "cores" associated with a characteristic technology. It describes Dumézil's three Orders (religious, military and economic) as the "ritual order", the "imperial order" and the "merchant order", noting that the "merchant order" came to supersede the two others. Pour l'expliquer, j'entends raconter ici l'histoire de l'avenir.The first third of the book retraces Human history from prehistory to today, with an emphasis on the rise of capitalism around 1200. Je crois que le troisième l'emportera après un demi-siècle de chaos. Deux avenirs mortels, un troisième impossible. Trois avenirs s'ouvriront donc devant nous au-delà de l'actuelle domination de l'empire américain 'provisoire, comme celle de tous ses prédécesseurs: hyperempire, hyperconflit, hyperdémocratie. C'est que je nommerai "l'hyperdémocratie". Si, enfin, la mondialisation peut être contenue sans être refusée, et si le marché peut être dépassé sans être aboli, s'ouvrira pour l'humanité un nouvel infini de démocratie, de liberté, de responsabilité, de création et de dignité. Et l'humanité disparaîtra aussi, mais tout autrement. Si par contre l'homme recule devant cet avenir et interrompt cette généralisation du libéralisme, il basculera dans une succession de barbaries et de totalitarismes dans des batailles que je nommerai "l'hyperconflit". Si cette évolution va à son terme, l'humanité disparaîtra. Ultime expression de l'individualisme, elle explique l'essentiel des soubresauts de l'Histoire: pour l'accélérer pour la refuser pour l'orienter. La généralisation du règne de l'argent est en marche.
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